{"id":4077,"date":"2025-09-16T08:58:41","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T05:58:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/?p=4077"},"modified":"2025-09-16T08:58:53","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T05:58:53","slug":"kuukausiennusteet-tarjoavat-ennakointiaikaa-helleaaltojen-terveys-ja-asumisriskeihin-varautumisessa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/2025\/09\/16\/kuukausiennusteet-tarjoavat-ennakointiaikaa-helleaaltojen-terveys-ja-asumisriskeihin-varautumisessa\/","title":{"rendered":"Kuukausiennusteet tarjoavat ennakointiaikaa helleaaltojen terveys- ja asumisriskeihin varautumisessa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Uusi Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences -lehdess\u00e4 julkaistu tutkimus osoittaa, ett\u00e4 Euroopan keskipitkien ennusteiden keskuksen (ECMWF) 1\u20134 viikon kuukausiennusteet voivat tarjota varhaisen varoituksen viiden p\u00e4iv\u00e4n tai sit\u00e4 pidemmist\u00e4 kuumuusjaksoista jo 1\u20132 viikkoa ennen niiden alkamista. T\u00e4m\u00e4 antaa mahdollisuuden ennakoida kuumuusjaksojen vaikutuksia asuntoihin ja ihmisten terveyteen jopa kaksi viikkoa etuk\u00e4teen. Kolmen ja nelj\u00e4n viikon p\u00e4\u00e4h\u00e4n ulottuvissa kuukausiennusteissa ep\u00e4varmuus on jo merkitt\u00e4v\u00e4. Jos kuumuusjakso on jo k\u00e4ynniss\u00e4, ennusteet voivat kuitenkin antaa viitteit\u00e4 sen kehittymisest\u00e4 tavallista pitk\u00e4kestoisemmaksi jopa kolme viikkoa etuk\u00e4teen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tutkimuksen toteuttivat Ilmatieteen laitos, Aalto-yliopisto, Terveyden ja hyvinvoinnin laitos sek\u00e4 ECMWF, ja se tehtiin Suomen Akatemian rahoittamassa HEATCLIM-hankkeessa sek\u00e4 osana ACCC-lippulaivahanketta (Atmosphere and Climate Competence Center).<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ilmatieteenlaitos.fi\/uutinen\/5QKZzUsOkpErbqqsezXOjb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Lue lis\u00e4\u00e4\u2026<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lis\u00e4tietoja<br>Tutkija Natalia Korhonen, Ilmatieteen laitos, p. 050 919 5454<br>Erikoistutkija Kirsti Jylh\u00e4, Ilmatieteen laitos, p. 029 539 1000 (vaihde)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>S\u00e4hk\u00f6postiosoitteet ovat muotoa etunimi.sukunimi@fmi.fi. (Huom. Nimen \u00e4\u00e4kk\u00f6set kirjoitetaan osoitteessa \u00a0a- tai o-kirjaimina.)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tieteellinen artikkeli on saatavilla Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences -lehdess\u00e4 <a href=\"https:\/\/nhess.copernicus.org\/articles\/25\/1865\/2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/nhess.copernicus.org\/articles\/25\/1865\/2025\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uusi Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences -lehdess\u00e4 julkaistu tutkimus osoittaa, ett\u00e4 Euroopan keskipitkien ennusteiden keskuksen (ECMWF) 1\u20134 viikon kuukausiennusteet voivat tarjota varhaisen varoituksen viiden p\u00e4iv\u00e4n tai sit\u00e4 pidemmist\u00e4 kuumuusjaksoista jo 1\u20132 viikkoa ennen niiden alkamista. T\u00e4m\u00e4 antaa mahdollisuuden ennakoida kuumuusjaksojen vaikutuksia asuntoihin ja ihmisten terveyteen jopa kaksi viikkoa etuk\u00e4teen. Kolmen ja nelj\u00e4n viikon p\u00e4\u00e4h\u00e4n [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2541,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_vp_format_video_url":"","_vp_image_focal_point":{"x":0.5,"y":0.5500000000000000444089209850062616169452667236328125},"footnotes":""},"categories":[140,25],"tags":[55],"class_list":["post-4077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-impact-en","category-uncategorized-en","tag-accc"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/wp-content\/uploads\/ACCC-news-1.png","author_info":{"display_name":"mkulmala","author_link":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/author\/mkulmala\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4077","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4077"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4077\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4078,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4077\/revisions\/4078"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.acccflagship.fi\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}